Time to think contarian

opagarwal's picture

Stocks had a wild run for a while now. Traders and investors are overly optimistic again and this tells me that it's time to a think about a little contrarian approach. While the liquidity and credit crunch is over there are some fundamental issues in the market still exists

1. Real Estate Bubble: Real estate stocks are a big component of major indices inluding nifty and sensex. Real estate in major Indian cities like Mumbai have already passed some areas of New york and Hong kong. Is that kind of prices really sustainable. Thing could have collapsed 1 year ago , if govt would not have provided support.

2. Inflation : Food inflation is ruling high and it's being neglected. While short term liquidity strength may pump the stocks, over valued stocks should be handled with caution at this time.

In no way I am stating that there are no opportunities in the market but one with medium to long term perspective should be cautious and bring down expectations. Growth of 20% in p/e is not sustainable year over year. Be very stock specific and avoid over valued sectors. Keep cash ready for another opportunity.


Recent Comments and talks

What is AskDalal ?

AskDalal is a investment blogging portal dedicated to Indian investment community , where every blog answers a question.It may be stocks, bonds,commodity, real estate or anything else.Post your blog title  or a question, community will do research and answer the question to give you your own research report.It is 100%free , no registration is required to browse and ask questions.It's great for writers looking for article topic,and cool for investor looking for answers.

>>> faq

Top Contributors

UserPoints
suniljain10,440
admin2,990
rahul das2,460
anilmehta1,710
dipak1,540
rakeshseth1,500
himesh1,350
stockguru1,110
shah1,060
bharat_vora1,040

Become Askdalal Research Analyst

Are you an MBA (finance) students, economics students, or journalist with broad interest in stocks, investing and finance. Do you want to polish your skills before getting into job market ? Come join askdalal as Research Analyst.Email your resume to tripti.shah@askdalal.com.

If your resume is impressive you will get chance to show your talent,polish your skills and earn money along the way. At the convenience of sitting at your home computer. See rules for askdalal investment analyst.

Latest Dalal

  • rosenjack13
  • bangalore.scrap
  • bipin1987310
  • mohammed ilyas
  • mehta.a10