
US unemployment remains high and recent meetings by Mr Obama suggest that he might be preparing for Stimulus 2.0 . Yeap , with double digit jobless Obama is going to play the stimulus game again. That means more spending for US Dollar and hence cheaper dollar. Can recent strength in dollar survive for longer term. I don't think so.
American Banks are returning that TARP money to get out govt control and get the liberty they want. But nowhere the previous stimulus helped the job market. Surely it did helped shareholders of those Banks and many other corporations.
What does it all means for interest rates ?
I think rates are going to stay low for another 6 month or so. That would push cheap American money into Indian markets and take sensex to 23000 level.
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